Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ludovic Giuly, Chasselay
The Footlab model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chasselay MDA (1,746) and Lyon Duchere (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chasselay MDA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Istres(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chasselay MDA win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lyon Duchere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Lyon Duchere 1-0 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Chasselay MDA 5-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Lyon Duchere 0-0 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 21, 2015 | Chasselay MDA 0-0 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Lyon Duchere 0-0 Chasselay MDA | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Chasselay MDA 2-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Lyon Duchere vs Chasselay MDA on Apr 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Chasselay MDA score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasselay MDA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chasselay MDA sit 8th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chasselay MDA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab model makes Chasselay MDA the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ludovic Giuly, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.