Match

Châteaubriant vs Le Poiré sur Vie: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group BGroup B - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Ville en Bois, Châteaubriant

ChâteaubriantLe Poiré sur Vie

The Footlab model makes Le Poiré sur Vie the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Châteaubriant vs Le Poiré sur Vie?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Châteaubriant (1,636) and Le Poiré sur Vie (1,732).

Châteaubriant win32 %
Draw28 %
Le Poiré sur Vie win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Châteaubriant have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Le Poiré sur Vie have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Châteaubriant
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avranches(home)0-3National 2 - Group B
May 16, 2026Les Herbiers(away)0-3National 2 - Group A
May 9, 2026Bayonne(home)2-1National 2 - Group A
May 2, 2026Montlouis(away)1-1National 2 - Group A
Apr 25, 2026Dinan Léhon(home)0-1National 2 - Group A
Le Poiré sur Vie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stade Briochin(away)0-1National 2 - Group B
May 16, 2026Châteauroux II(home)2-0National 3 - Group B
May 9, 2026Nantes II(away)0-2National 3 - Group B
Apr 25, 2026Angers SCO II(home)2-0National 3 - Group B
Apr 18, 2026Vendée Fontenay(away)4-0National 3 - Group B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Châteaubriant win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Le Poiré sur Vie win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2025Le Poiré sur Vie 1-0 ChâteaubriantNational 2 - Group B
Dec 14, 2024Châteaubriant 0-0 Le Poiré sur VieNational 2 - Group B

Last archived meeting: Le Poiré sur Vie vs Châteaubriant on Apr 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Châteaubriant score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Le Poiré sur Vie score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Châteaubriant0.51.745/157/15
Le Poiré sur Vie1.70.794/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Châteaubriant sit 16th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Le Poiré sur Vie sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Le Poiré sur Vie1001010
16Châteaubriant1001030

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Châteaubriant vs Le Poiré sur Vie?
The Footlab model makes Le Poiré sur Vie the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Châteaubriant.
Where and when is Châteaubriant vs Le Poiré sur Vie played?
Châteaubriant vs Le Poiré sur Vie is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Ville en Bois, in the National 2 - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Châteaubriant and Le Poiré sur Vie

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