Saumur vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint-Malo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Saint-Malo?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Saint-Malo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Saint-Malo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Granville(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Saumur wins, 0 draws, 6 Saint-Malo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo 2-1 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Saumur 0-2 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Saint-Malo 3-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Saint-Malo 2-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Saumur 0-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group B |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Saint-Malo 3-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (7 points from 7 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Saint-Malo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Saumur vs Saint-Malo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Saint-Malo played?
- Saumur vs Saint-Malo is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.