Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Greenville Triumph. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Chattanooga Red Wolves (1,710) and Greenville Triumph (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chattanooga Red Wolves have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Greenville Triumph have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sarasota Paradise(away) | 2-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union Omaha(home) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 2-5 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 0-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 3-3 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chattanooga Red Wolves win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Greenville Triumph win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Greenville Triumph 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-0 Greenville Triumph | USL League One |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Greenville Triumph 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Greenville Triumph | USL League One |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 Greenville Triumph | USL League One |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Greenville Triumph 1-3 Chattanooga Red Wolves | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Greenville Triumph | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th in USL League One (32 points from 20 matches) and Greenville Triumph sit 15th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 32 | 32 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?
- The Footlab model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Greenville Triumph.
- Where and when is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph played?
- Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at CHI Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves