Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Chattanooga the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlanta United II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Chattanooga (1,697) and Atlanta United II (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chattanooga have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Atlanta United II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Crown Legacy(away) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Toronto II(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlanta United II(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Inter Miami II(away) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orlando City II(home) | 5-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chicago Fire II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | New York RB II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chattanooga(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Carolina Core(home) | 3-3 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chattanooga win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atlanta United II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chattanooga 1-0 Atlanta United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Atlanta United II 4-4 Chattanooga | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Chattanooga 1-1 Atlanta United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Atlanta United II 0-1 Chattanooga | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atlanta United II 2-2 Chattanooga | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Chattanooga 3-4 Atlanta United II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chattanooga score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta United II score 2.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlanta United II | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chattanooga sit 2nd in MLS Next Pro (44 points from 24 matches) and Atlanta United II sit 3rd (40 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chattanooga | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 32 | 44 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 38 | 40 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 38 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II?
- The Footlab model makes Chattanooga the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlanta United II.
- Where and when is Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II played?
- Chattanooga vs Atlanta United II is played on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Finley Stadium, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC