Chauray vs Pontivy GSI: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 24Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Chauray
The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Chauray. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chauray vs Pontivy GSI?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Chauray (1,679) and Pontivy GSI (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chauray have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Pontivy GSI have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Granville(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Vannes(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Vire(away) | 0-0 | National 3 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ergué-Gaberic(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Chauray score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauray | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pontivy GSI | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chauray sit 14th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pontivy GSI sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pontivy GSI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Chauray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chauray vs Pontivy GSI?
- The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Chauray.
- Where and when is Chauray vs Pontivy GSI played?
- Chauray vs Pontivy GSI is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.