Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B · Matchday 25Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy
The Footlab AI model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontivy GSI wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,430 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,758) and Tarbes (1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontivy GSI
Not enough data to predict the Pontivy GSI lineup.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tarbes have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pontivy GSI win, 0 draws, 1 Tarbes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | Tarbes 2-1 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Pontivy GSI 2-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI on Mar 21, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Pontivy GSI score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontivy GSI | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontivy GSI sit 15th in National 2 - Group B (5 points from 9 matches) and Tarbes sit 6th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tarbes | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 15 | Pontivy GSI | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes played?
- Pontivy GSI vs Tarbes is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.