Chaves II vs Montalegre: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Treinos do Municipal de Chaves, Chaves
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Montalegre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaves II vs Montalegre?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Chaves II (1,866) and Montalegre (1,846).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chaves II vs Montalegre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Montalegre have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Chaves II wins, 1 draw, 0 Montalegre wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Montalegre 0-0 Chaves II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Montalegre vs Chaves II on Dec 1, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves II sit 4th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (12 points from 6 matches) and Montalegre sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chaves II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Montalegre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Chaves II vs Montalegre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaves II vs Montalegre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves II the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Montalegre.
- Where and when is Chaves II vs Montalegre played?
- Chaves II vs Montalegre is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Treinos do Municipal de Chaves, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.