Chelmsford City vs East Thurrock United: result 2-2 and analysis
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 20, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Chelmsford City vs East Thurrock United?
Chelmsford City and East Thurrock United drew 2-2 on October 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′S. HarrisonEast Thurrock United
- 44′David BridgesChelmsford City
- 88′K. ClarkChelmsford City
- 90′K. NewbyEast Thurrock United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; East Thurrock United have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 14, 2011 | Macclesfield(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Bath City(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Macclesfield(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Hastings United(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Kingstonian(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Witham Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 31, 2012 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 1-4 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 11; East Thurrock United score 2.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/11 | 6/11 |
| East Thurrock United | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy