Torquay vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelmsford City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,116 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Torquay (1,828) and Chelmsford City (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Chelmsford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Chelmsford City
Not enough data to predict the Chelmsford City lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chelmsford City have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torquay wins, 1 draw, 3 Chelmsford City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Torquay 0-5 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Chelmsford City 0-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Chelmsford City 3-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Torquay 2-2 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Chelmsford City 2-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Torquay 2-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chelmsford City on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 14th in National League - South (20 points from 14 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 10th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chelmsford City | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 14 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 20 |
A question about Torquay vs Chelmsford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Torquay.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Chelmsford City played?
- Torquay vs Chelmsford City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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