Where and when is Torquay vs Chelmsford City played?

Torquay vs Chelmsford City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Torquay vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

Torquay

Chelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Torquay (1,876) and Chelmsford City (1,842).

Torquay win45 %

Draw24 %

Chelmsford City win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Horsham(home)	1-1	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chelmsford City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Torquay 0-5 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Nov 29, 2025	Chelmsford City 0-2 Torquay	National League - South
Feb 22, 2025	Chelmsford City 3-2 Torquay	National League - South
Nov 2, 2024	Torquay 2-2 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Dec 23, 2023	Chelmsford City 2-0 Torquay	National League - South
Sep 9, 2023	Torquay 2-1 Chelmsford City	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Chelmsford City on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Torquay	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	11/15
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Chelmsford City?: The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Torquay vs Chelmsford City played?: Torquay vs Chelmsford City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.