Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Chelsea U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Middlesbrough U21 (1,820) and Chelsea U21 (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chelsea U21 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 10-0 | National League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Middlesbrough U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chelsea U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21 1-0 Middlesbrough U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Middlesbrough U21 1-3 Chelsea U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Middlesbrough U21 1-3 Chelsea U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Chelsea U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough U21 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chelsea U21 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough U21 sit 31st in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Chelsea U21 sit 29th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21?
- The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Chelsea U21.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21 played?
- Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21 is played on March 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21