Where and when is Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21 played?

Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21 is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kingsmeadow, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kingsmeadow, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey

Chelsea U21

Newcastle United U21

The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Chelsea U21 starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,716).

Chelsea U21 win61 %

Draw19 %

Newcastle United U21 win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Newcastle United U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelsea U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Bristol Rovers(away)	2-2	EFL Trophy
Aug 21, 2026	AFC Bournemouth U21(away)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026	Cardiff City U21(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026	Middlesbrough U21(home)	1-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Newcastle United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	3-5	National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026	Swansea City U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Manchester United U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Chelsea U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Newcastle United U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2025	Newcastle United U21 0-5 Chelsea U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Dec 16, 2024	Newcastle United U21 3-2 Chelsea U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 8, 2024	Newcastle United U21 1-7 Chelsea U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Newcastle United U21 vs Chelsea U21 on Aug 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chelsea U21	2.3	1.2	6	9/15	12/15
Newcastle United U21	1.5	2.0	2	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelsea U21 sit 24th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Newcastle United U21 sit 27th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
24	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
27	Newcastle United U21	1	0	0	1	1	3	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21?: The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21 played?: Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21 is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kingsmeadow, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.