Chelsea vs Derby: result 3-2 and analysis
League Cup8th FinalsKick-off on October 31, 2018 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Derby?
Chelsea won 3-2 on October 31, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 5′F. TomoriChelsea (o.g.)
- 9′J. MarriottDerby
- 21′R. KeoghChelsea (o.g.)
- 27′M. WaghornDerby
- 41′Cesc FàbregasChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Derby have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | Burnley(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2018 | Bate Borisov(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Southampton(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Fehérvár FC(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2018 | West Brom(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2018 | Norwich(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Chelsea win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2014 | Derby 1-3 Chelsea | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2014 | Derby 0-2 Chelsea | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy