Chelsea vs Luton: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 24, 2021 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
Full time
What was the result of Chelsea vs Luton?
Chelsea won 3-1 on January 24, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 11′T. AbrahamChelsea
- 17′T. AbrahamChelsea
- 30′J. ClarkLuton
- 74′T. AbrahamChelsea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Luton have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | Leicester(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Morecambe(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 3, 2021 | Manchester City(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2021 | Brentford(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2021 | QPR(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Reading(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Bristol City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Luton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy