Chelsea vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelsea wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Chelsea starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,059).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea
4-2-3-1- 7Pedro Neto
- 17M. Rogers
- 25M. Caicedo
- 10C. Palmer
- 45R. Lavia
- 14J. Henderson
- 34Joshua Kofi Acheampong
- 6L. Colwill
- 3W. Fofana
- 5M. Lacroix
- 39M. Penders
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 11D. McNeil
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 1D. Henderson
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Crystal Palace have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Everton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chelsea wins, 3 draws, 0 Crystal Palace wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Chelsea 0-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2023 | Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea sit 4th in Premier League (16 points from 9 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 18th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 16 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Chelsea vs Crystal Palace played?
- Chelsea vs Crystal Palace is played on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.