Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Central'nyj, Chelyabinsk
The Footlab model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FK Neftekhimik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chelyabinsk (1,768) and FK Neftekhimik (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelyabinsk have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; FK Neftekhimik have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chelyabinsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FK Neftekhimik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 2-0 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Chelyabinsk | First League |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FK Neftekhimik score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelyabinsk sit 13th in First League (7 points from 7 matches) and FK Neftekhimik sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
- The Footlab model makes Chelyabinsk the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for FK Neftekhimik.
- Where and when is Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik played?
- Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Central'nyj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.