FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Neftekhimik, Nizhnekamsk
The Footlab AI model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Neftekhimik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate FK Neftekhimik (1,752) and Chelyabinsk (1,774).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Neftekhimik
4-2-3-1- 7S. Dzhamilov
- 38V. Aleynikov
- 85I. Pyatkin
- 19L. Sharifullin
- 8D. Sukhomlinov
- 96N. Vasilyev
- 28P. Platonov
- 6N. Pechenkin
- 24A. Kakhidze
- 22I. Khomukha
- 98A. Ismagilov
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1- 10R. Gadzhimuradov
- 55G. Borisov
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 18K. Kertanov
- 6S. Makarov
- 77D. Samoylov
- 21A. Berdnikov
- 15K. Kochiev
- 72A. Bem
- 24N. Pridava
- 93I. Tuseev
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Neftekhimik have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FK Neftekhimik wins, 1 draw, 1 Chelyabinsk win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 2-0 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Chelyabinsk | First League |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Neftekhimik score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Neftekhimik sit 15th in First League (12 points from 12 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 14th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
A question about FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk played?
- FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk is played on October 9, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neftekhimik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.