FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Neftekhimik, Nizhnekamsk
The Footlab model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate FK Neftekhimik (1,737) and Chelyabinsk (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Neftekhimik have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FK Neftekhimik win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chelyabinsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 2-0 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Chelyabinsk | First League |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FK Neftekhimik on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Neftekhimik score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Neftekhimik sit 12th in First League (9 points from 8 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk played?
- FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neftekhimik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.