Match

Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Cheminots ParayVillefranche

The Footlab AI model makes Villefranche the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Cheminots Paray. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche?

On Elo ratings, Cheminots Paray has 1,665 points and Villefranche 1,740.

11%17%72%
Cheminots Paray winDrawVillefranche win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cheminots Paray

4-3-3
  1. EEddy Boullet
  2. MMohamed Ali Doumbouya
  3. DDamien Echegut
  1. FFranck Bouchot
  2. BBenoit Deschaintre
  3. MMathieu Bouillet
  1. SSylvain Moinot
  2. LL. Perianayagom
  3. AAnthony Bernard
  4. EEtienne Longin
  1. BBastien Loudot

Villefranche

3-2-4-1
  1. 9L. Piquionne
  1. 27A. Diakité
  2. 7M. Louzif
  3. 13M. Cachbach
  4. 29L. Etoga
  5. 18R. Laspalles
  6. 6G. Fofana
  1. 4M. Tshibuabua
  2. 8M. Etuin
  3. 28S. Bakari
  1. 1S. Péan

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Cheminots Paray have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Villefranche have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cheminots Paray
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 8, 2018Orleans(home)0-4Coupe de France
Nov 17, 2018Morteau Montlebon(home)1-0Coupe de France
Villefranche
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Orleans(away)1-1Ligue 3
Oct 17, 2026Cannes(home)2-1Ligue 3
Oct 3, 2026Amiens(away)0-3Ligue 3
Sep 26, 2026Versailles(home)1-2Ligue 3
Sep 19, 2026Le Puy Foot(away)1-4Ligue 3

How many goals should we expect?

Cheminots Paray score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Villefranche score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cheminots Paray0.52.010/21/2
Villefranche0.92.328/159/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

A question about Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche?
The Footlab AI model makes Villefranche the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Cheminots Paray.
Where and when is Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche played?
Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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