Bastia vs Villefranche: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villefranche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bastia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bastia vs Villefranche?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Bastia (1,809) and Villefranche (1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bastia vs Villefranche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bastia
4-2-3-1- 12L. Belal
- 17J. Eickmayer
- 4A. Roncaglia
- 22I. Monnier
- 3H. Makalou
- 9F. Tomi
- 35N. Douce
- 2N. Zilliox
- 20G. Akueson
- 34D. Djedje
- 1T. De Percin
Villefranche
3-2-4-1- 9L. Piquionne
- 27A. Diakité
- 7M. Louzif
- 13M. Cachbach
- 10L. Yobé
- 29L. Etoga
- 18R. Laspalles
- 23D. Gassama
- 4M. Tshibuabua
- 31T. Norde
- 1S. Péan
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Villefranche have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bastia win, 1 draw, 0 Villefranche wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | Bastia 1-1 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 18, 2020 | Villefranche 0-3 Bastia | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bastia vs Villefranche on Feb 19, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villefranche score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Villefranche | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia sit 13th in Ligue 3 (12 points from 10 matches) and Villefranche sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bastia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Bastia vs Villefranche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bastia vs Villefranche?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bastia the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Villefranche.
- Where and when is Bastia vs Villefranche played?
- Bastia vs Villefranche is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Armand-Césari, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.