Match

Kondzo vs Vegas: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 4Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville

KondzoVegas

The Footlab AI model makes Kondzo the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Vegas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kondzo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kondzo vs Vegas?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Kondzo (1,449) and Vegas (1,364).

41%31%28%
Kondzo winDrawVegas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kondzo vs Vegas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kondzo

Not enough data to predict the Kondzo lineup.

Vegas

Not enough data to predict the Vegas lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kondzo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vegas have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kondzo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2024JS Talangaï(away)1-2Ligue 1
May 25, 2024Étoile du Congo(home)1-0Ligue 1
May 19, 2024Léopards de Dolisié(home)1-3Ligue 1
May 11, 2024Otôho d'Oyo(away)0-2Ligue 1
May 4, 2024Nathaly's(away)4-0Ligue 1
Vegas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2024Étoile du Congo(away)0-3Ligue 1
May 25, 2024Nathaly's(away)2-3Ligue 1
May 17, 2024Diables Noirs(away)2-1Ligue 1
May 10, 2024Inter Club(home)1-2Ligue 1
May 5, 2024V.Club Mokanda(home)0-0Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kondzo win, 1 draw, 0 Vegas wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Vegas 0-2 KondzoLigue 1
Dec 16, 2023Kondzo 0-0 VegasLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Vegas vs Kondzo on Apr 27, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Kondzo score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vegas score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kondzo1.11.166/156/15
Vegas0.91.446/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Kondzo vs Vegas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kondzo vs Vegas?
The Footlab AI model makes Kondzo the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Vegas.
Where and when is Kondzo vs Vegas played?
Kondzo vs Vegas is played on December 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kondzo and Vegas