Chênois vs Monthey: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Trois-Chênes, Chêne-Bourg
The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Monthey. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chênois vs Monthey?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Chênois (1,767) and Monthey (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chênois have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Monthey have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(home) | 3-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chênois win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Monthey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Monthey 3-3 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Chênois 2-2 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Chênois 1-0 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Monthey 1-1 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Chênois 5-2 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2023 | Monthey 0-0 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chênois score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Monthey score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chênois | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Monthey | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chênois sit 11th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (3 points from 3 matches) and Monthey sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chênois | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Monthey | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chênois vs Monthey?
- The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Monthey.
- Where and when is Chênois vs Monthey played?
- Chênois vs Monthey is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Trois-Chênes, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.