Naters vs Chênois: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stapfen, Naters
The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Naters. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naters vs Chênois?
Chênois starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naters have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chênois have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Payerne(away) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chênois(away) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 6-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Coffrane(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Naters win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chênois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chênois 3-4 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Naters 1-1 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Chênois 2-2 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chênois 2-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Naters 0-1 Chênois | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Chênois 2-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Naters score 2.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chênois score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naters | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Chênois | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naters sit 4th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (5 points from 3 matches) and Chênois sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Naters | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | Chênois | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naters vs Chênois?
- The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Naters.
- Where and when is Naters vs Chênois played?
- Naters vs Chênois is played on February 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stapfen, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.