Chernihiv vs Oleksandria: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yunist, Chernihiv
The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Chernihiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oleksandria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernihiv vs Oleksandria?
Oleksandria starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chernihiv vs Oleksandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 77M. Serdyuk
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 2E. Galstyan
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 20D. Fateev
- 35M. Tatarenko
Oleksandria
4-3-3- 9M. Tretyakov
- 44Jhonnatan Silva
- 25O. Kozak
- 21R. Tolochko
- 14R. Kuzmin
- 30Y. Kopyna
- 5O. Dykhtyaruk
- 3V. Adamyuk
- 2T. Dmytruk
- 4N. Gavrylyuk
- 33A. Klishchuk
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernihiv have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Oleksandria have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 1-3 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Chernihiv wins, 0 draws, 1 Oleksandria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Oleksandria 1-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Oleksandria vs Chernihiv on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Oleksandria score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Oleksandria | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernihiv sit 13th in Persha Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Oleksandria sit 3rd (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 19 |
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Chernihiv vs Oleksandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernihiv vs Oleksandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oleksandria the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Chernihiv.
- Where and when is Chernihiv vs Oleksandria played?
- Chernihiv vs Oleksandria is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yunist, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.