Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab AI model makes Nyva Ternopil the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chernihiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nyva Ternopil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Nyva Ternopil (1,647) and Chernihiv (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nyva Ternopil
4-3-3- 45A. Boryachuk
- 91D. Rezepov
- 99B. Vyshynskyi
- 33M. Mysyk
- 17M. Pezhynskyi
- 28A. Gabelok
- 11M. Mykhalchuk
- 75I. Snurnitsyn
- 94V. Burtnyk
- 44S. Davydov
- 1M. Mekhaniv
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 77M. Serdyuk
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 2E. Galstyan
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 20D. Fateev
- 35M. Tatarenko
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Chernihiv have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nyva Ternopil win, 2 draws, 2 Chernihiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chernihiv 1-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chernihiv 1-0 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 2-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| May 19, 2024 | Chernihiv 3-3 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Nyva Ternopil 0-0 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Nyva Ternopil on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil sit 10th in Persha Liga (14 points from 11 matches) and Chernihiv sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nyva Ternopil the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Chernihiv.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv played?
- Nyva Ternopil vs Chernihiv is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.