Chernihiv vs UCSA: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yunist, Chernihiv
The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernihiv vs UCSA?
On Elo ratings, Chernihiv has 1,655 points and UCSA 1,618.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chernihiv vs UCSA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 77M. Serdyuk
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 2E. Galstyan
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 20D. Fateev
- 35M. Tatarenko
UCSA
4-3-3- 9O. Khoblenko
- 71Ruan Santos
- 22Yegor Rogach
- 6R. Yuvkhimets
- 49Vitinho
- 73P. Castro
- 42D. Makhnev
- 15O. Osman
- 35Hiago
- 45D. Sabiyev
- 12A. Kovalev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernihiv have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; UCSA have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chernihiv(home) | 3-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Chernihiv wins, 0 draws, 1 UCSA win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA 3-2 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| May 2, 2026 | UCSA 0-2 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Chernihiv 2-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; UCSA score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| UCSA | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernihiv sit 13th in Persha Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and UCSA sit 14th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
A question about Chernihiv vs UCSA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernihiv vs UCSA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for UCSA.
- Where and when is Chernihiv vs UCSA played?
- Chernihiv vs UCSA is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Yunist, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.