Inhulets vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Inhulets, Petrove
The Footlab model makes Inhulets the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chernihiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inhulets vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Inhulets (1,640) and Chernihiv (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inhulets have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chernihiv have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polissya II(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Inhulets win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chernihiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Chernihiv 1-2 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Inhulets 1-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Inhulets 6-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Chernihiv 0-2 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Inhulets on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inhulets score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inhulets sit 11th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Chernihiv sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chernihiv | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inhulets vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab model makes Inhulets the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chernihiv.
- Where and when is Inhulets vs Chernihiv played?
- Inhulets vs Chernihiv is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Inhulets, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.