Inhulets vs Chernihiv: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Inhulets, Petrove
The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Inhulets. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernihiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inhulets vs Chernihiv?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Inhulets (1,698) and Chernihiv (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inhulets vs Chernihiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inhulets
4-3-3- 78O. Evtushenko
- 52O. Zhadan
- 59B. Mogylnyi
- 2S. Malysh
- 22Danylo Yanyuk
- 30D. Tuzenko
- 4V. Dubiley
- 5Y. Dankovskyi
- 8A. Benedyuk
- 6O. Komari
- 24O. Slutskyi
Chernihiv
4-3-3- 12E. Kartushov
- 11A. Novikov
- 21D. Bezborodko
- 77M. Serdyuk
- 6Y. Shalfeev
- 44D. Plakhtyr
- 2E. Galstyan
- 23O. Zenchenko
- 38P. Shushko
- 20D. Fateev
- 35M. Tatarenko
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inhulets have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chernihiv have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Prykarpattia(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prykarpattia(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Inhulets wins, 1 draw, 0 Chernihiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Chernihiv 1-2 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Inhulets 1-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Inhulets 6-1 Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Chernihiv 0-2 Inhulets | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chernihiv vs Inhulets on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Inhulets score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chernihiv score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inhulets | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Chernihiv | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inhulets sit 11th in Persha Liga (14 points from 10 matches) and Chernihiv sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Inhulets vs Chernihiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inhulets vs Chernihiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernihiv the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Inhulets.
- Where and when is Inhulets vs Chernihiv played?
- Inhulets vs Chernihiv is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Inhulets, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.