Chertanovo Moscow vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 24Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arena Chertanovo, Moskva
The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Chertanovo Moscow (1,727) and Kosmos Dolgoprudny (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertanovo Moscow have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kosmos Dolgoprudny have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | KDV(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC 10(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chertanovo Moscow win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kosmos Dolgoprudny win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 0-3 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2-0 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 18, 2025 | Chertanovo Moscow 0-1 Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Chertanovo Moscow 0-2 Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kosmos Dolgoprudny vs Chertanovo Moscow on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chertanovo Moscow score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kosmos Dolgoprudny score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertanovo Moscow sit 3rd in Second League - Group 2 (23 points from 11 matches) and Kosmos Dolgoprudny sit 15th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 15 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertanovo Moscow vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
- The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny.
- Where and when is Chertanovo Moscow vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny played?
- Chertanovo Moscow vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Chertanovo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.