Chester vs Luton: result 1-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on November 16, 2013 at 03:15 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
Full time
What was the result of Chester vs Luton?
Chester and Luton drew 1-1 on November 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′A. GrayLuton
- 23′Gareth Jonathan SeddonChester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Luton have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | Hereford United(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Hyde United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Gateshead(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Braintree(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Welling United(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Gateshead(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Tamworth(away) | 4-3 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Luton | 2.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy