Chester vs Oxford City: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Oxford City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Oxford City?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Chester (1,822) and Oxford City (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs Oxford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
Not enough data to predict the Chester lineup.
Oxford City
Not enough data to predict the Oxford City lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Oxford City have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marine(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Chester wins, 1 draw, 0 Oxford City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Oxford City 1-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chester 2-1 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Oxford City 0-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Chester 3-1 Oxford City | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Chester on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Oxford City | 2.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 8th in National League - North (26 points from 15 matches) and Oxford City sit 3rd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford City | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 27 |
| 8 | Chester | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 26 |
A question about Chester vs Oxford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Oxford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Oxford City.
- Where and when is Chester vs Oxford City played?
- Chester vs Oxford City is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.