Chiangrai United vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)LEO Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chiangrai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Buriram United?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangrai United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chiangrai United win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Buriram United 8-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Chiangrai United 1-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Buriram United 2-1 Chiangrai United | FA Cup |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Buriram United 8-0 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Chiangrai United 0-5 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Buriram United 2-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Chiangrai United on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangrai United sit 7th in Thai League 1 (40 points from 30 matches) and Buriram United sit 1st (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangrai United vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Chiangrai United.
- Where and when is Chiangrai United vs Buriram United played?
- Chiangrai United vs Buriram United is played on January 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at LEO Chiangrai Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.