Rayong FC vs Chonburi FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WHA Rayong Stadium, Rayong
The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chonburi FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayong FC vs Chonburi FC?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Rayong FC (1,630) and Chonburi FC (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayong FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chonburi FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Rayong FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chonburi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chonburi FC 4-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Rayong FC 1-0 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Rayong FC 1-1 Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Chonburi FC 2-0 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 3, 2016 | Rayong FC 1-4 Chonburi FC | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chonburi FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chonburi FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayong FC sit 9th in Thai League 1 (37 points from 30 matches) and Chonburi FC sit 8th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chonburi FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayong FC vs Chonburi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Rayong FC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chonburi FC.
- Where and when is Rayong FC vs Chonburi FC played?
- Rayong FC vs Chonburi FC is played on February 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WHA Rayong Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.