Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)LEO Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Chiangrai United (1,686) and Lamphun Warrior (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangrai United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lamphun Warrior have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chiangrai United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lamphun Warrior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 0-0 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Chiangrai United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Chiangrai United 2-0 Lamphun Warrior | FA Cup |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Chiangrai United 2-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Chiangrai United 0-2 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs Chiangrai United on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lamphun Warrior score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lamphun Warrior | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangrai United sit 7th in Thai League 1 (40 points from 30 matches) and Lamphun Warrior sit 12th (29 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 47 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior played?
- Chiangrai United vs Lamphun Warrior is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at LEO Chiangrai Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.