Match

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRound of 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Chicago FireCharlotte

The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chicago Fire wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?

On Elo ratings, Chicago Fire has 1,946 points and Charlotte 1,960.

51%23%26%
Chicago Fire winDrawCharlotte win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chicago Fire vs Charlotte

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
  1. 7M. Haile-Selassie
  2. 9R. Lewandowski
  1. 6A. Salétros
  2. 11P. Zinckernagel
  3. 19J. Bamba
  4. 42T. D'Avilla
  1. 4M. Mbokazi
  2. 24J. Dean
  3. 32N. Allen
  4. 21A. Hanche-Olsen
  1. 1C. Brady

Charlotte

4-2-3-1
  1. 9I. Toklomati Giorno
  1. 16Pep Biel
  2. 8A. Westwood
  3. 28D. Diani
  4. 11L. Abada
  5. 10A. Saint-Maximin
  1. 22H. Kessler
  2. 14N. Byrne
  3. 44M. Agyemang
  4. 15H. Toffolo
  1. 1K. Kahlina

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chicago Fire have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Charlotte have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chicago Fire
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Columbus Crew(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)4-2Major League Soccer
Oct 29, 2026Orlando City SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Oct 24, 2026Atlanta United FC(away)3-2Major League Soccer
Oct 17, 2026New England Revolution(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Charlotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Inter Miami(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Oct 31, 2026Orlando City SC(home)4-0Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2026CF Montreal(home)4-0Major League Soccer
Oct 25, 2026Portland Timbers(away)2-3Major League Soccer
Oct 17, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)2-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chicago Fire wins, 0 draws, 2 Charlotte wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Charlotte 0-1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026Chicago Fire 2-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025Chicago Fire 3-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
May 17, 2025Charlotte 1-4 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
Oct 2, 2024Charlotte 4-3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
May 16, 2024Chicago Fire 0-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs Chicago Fire on Sep 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chicago Fire score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chicago Fire1.92.0112/1512/15
Charlotte2.31.5410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chicago Fire sit 4th in Major League Soccer (55 points from 34 matches) and Charlotte sit 5th (54 points from 34 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Chicago Fire3416711645455
5Charlotte3415910665154

A question about Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Charlotte?
The Footlab AI model makes Chicago Fire the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Charlotte.
Where and when is Chicago Fire vs Charlotte played?
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Soldier Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round