Chievo vs Fiorenzuola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chievo vs Fiorenzuola?
Chievo starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chievo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Fiorenzuola have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chievo vs Fiorenzuola?
- The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Chievo vs Fiorenzuola played?
- Chievo vs Fiorenzuola is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026PiacenzavsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Nov 1, 2026Virtus VeronavsMilan II
- Nov 1, 2026TritiumvsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Nov 1, 2026Villa VallevsBrusaporto
- Nov 1, 2026Virtus Ciserano BergamovsReal Calepina
- Nov 1, 2026Club MilanovsScanzorosciate
- Nov 1, 2026Rovato VertovesevsCaldiero Terme
- Nov 1, 2026PavonesevsPro Palazzolo