Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano?
Club Milano starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Club Milano have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Asti(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Milano score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Milano | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano?
- The Footlab model makes Club Milano the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano played?
- Fiorenzuola vs Club Milano is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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