Chile vs Colombia: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab AI model makes Colombia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chile. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colombia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,007 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chile vs Colombia?
Colombia starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chile vs Colombia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chile
3-4-3- 11D. Osorio
- 9M. Gutiérrez
- 16G. Tapia
- 8F. Loyola
- 17G. Suazo
- 6V. Pizarro
- 18R. Echeverría
- 27J. Villagra
- 26D. Ulloa
- 3G. Maripán
- 12L. Vigouroux
Colombia
4-4-2- 10J. Arias
- 9L. Suárez
- 8G. Puerta
- 16J. Lerma
- 15N. Deossa
- 11C. Durán
- 23D. Sánchez
- 2D. Muñoz
- 3J. Lucumí
- 17S. Velásquez
- 12C. Vargas
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chile have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Colombia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2026 | USA(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Canada(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Chile(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Peru(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paraguay(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chile wins, 3 draws, 3 Colombia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Colombia 1-0 Chile | Friendlies |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Colombia 4-0 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Chile 0-0 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Colombia 3-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Chile 2-2 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Colombia 0-0 Chile | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Chile score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colombia score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chile | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Colombia | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Chile vs Colombia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chile vs Colombia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colombia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Chile.
- Where and when is Chile vs Colombia played?
- Chile vs Colombia is played on November 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.