China vs Hong Kong: result 1-0 and analysis
EAFF E-1 Football ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on July 27, 2022 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Full time
What was the result of China vs Hong Kong?
China won 1-0 on July 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 67′Tan LongChina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hong Kong have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2022 | Japan(away) | 0-0 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jul 20, 2022 | South Korea(home) | 0-3 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Oman(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 24, 2022 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Vietnam(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2022 | South Korea(away) | 0-3 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jul 19, 2022 | Japan(away) | 0-6 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jun 14, 2022 | India(away) | 0-4 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Cambodia(away) | 3-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2022 | Afghanistan(home) | 2-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 China win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hong Kong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2019 | Hong Kong 0-2 China | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Hong Kong 0-0 China | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 3, 2015 | China 0-0 Hong Kong | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
China score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hong Kong score 0.5 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hong Kong | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy