Match

China vs Malaysia: prediction and stats

FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Beijing National Stadium, Beijing

ChinaMalaysia

The Footlab AI model makes China the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Malaysia. The most likely score is 1-1. If China wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,767 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win China vs Malaysia?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate China (1,512) and Malaysia (1,562).

41%28%31%
China winDrawMalaysia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for China vs Malaysia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

China

4-4-2
  1. 10Wei Shihao
  2. 9Wang Ziming
  1. 6Wang Shangyuan
  2. 13Huang Shenghao
  3. 7Xie Wenneng
  4. 17Bunyamin Abdusalam
  1. 19Liu Yang
  2. 2Jiang Guangtai
  3. 4Gao Zhunyi
  4. 21Li Yang
  1. 12Liu Dianzuo

Malaysia

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Bérgson
  1. 4M. Hidalgo
  2. 15Nooa Laine
  3. 12S. Wilkin
  4. 10Arif Aiman Hanapi
  5. 11Nathaniel Shio Hong Wan
  1. 6Quentin Cheng
  2. 22La'Vere Corbin-Ong
  3. 2D. Ting
  4. 21Dion-Johan Cools
  1. 16Ahmad Syihan Hazmi

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Malaysia have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

China
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Tajikistan(home)0-1Friendlies
Oct 2, 2026Palestine(home)0-5Friendlies
Sep 27, 2026New Zealand(home)0-3Friendlies
Sep 24, 2026Maldives(home)3-0Friendlies
Jun 9, 2026Thailand(home)0-0Friendlies
Malaysia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Vietnam(home)1-0FIFA Asean Cup
Oct 1, 2026Singapore(home)6-0FIFA Asean Cup
Sep 28, 2026Indonesia(home)0-0FIFA Asean Cup
Sep 25, 2026Bangladesh(away)3-0FIFA Asean Cup
Aug 19, 2026Vietnam(away)0-2ASEAN Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 China wins, 1 draw, 0 Malaysia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 9, 2023China 1-1 MalaysiaFriendlies

Last archived meeting: China vs Malaysia on Sep 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

China score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malaysia score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
China0.71.552/156/15
Malaysia1.90.793/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about China vs Malaysia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for China vs Malaysia?
The Footlab AI model makes China the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Malaysia.
Where and when is China vs Malaysia played?
China vs Malaysia is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Beijing National Stadium, in the Friendlies.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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