Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Dedza Dynamos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Chitipa United (1,467) and Dedza Dynamos (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chitipa United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dedza Dynamos have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Creck(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 3-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chitipa United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dedza Dynamos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos 1-2 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Chitipa United 1-0 Dedza Dynamos | Super League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Dedza Dynamos 2-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Chitipa United 2-2 Dedza Dynamos | Super League |
| May 19, 2024 | Dedza Dynamos 0-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Dedza Dynamos 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Dedza Dynamos vs Chitipa United on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chitipa United score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dedza Dynamos score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Dedza Dynamos | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chitipa United sit 6th in Super League (20 points from 14 matches) and Dedza Dynamos sit 12th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chitipa United | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 15 | Dedza Dynamos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos?
- The Footlab model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Dedza Dynamos.
- Where and when is Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos played?
- Chitipa United vs Dedza Dynamos is played on January 3, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.