Ekhaya vs Chitipa United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ekhaya the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Chitipa United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ekhaya vs Chitipa United?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ekhaya (1,502) and Chitipa United (1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ekhaya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chitipa United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creck(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Silver Strikers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ekhaya win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chitipa United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chitipa United 1-0 Ekhaya | Super League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ekhaya 3-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chitipa United 1-0 Ekhaya | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Chitipa United vs Ekhaya on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ekhaya score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chitipa United score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekhaya | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chitipa United | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ekhaya sit 10th in Super League (17 points from 14 matches) and Chitipa United sit 6th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ekhaya | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Chitipa United | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Ekhaya | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ekhaya vs Chitipa United?
- The Footlab model makes Ekhaya the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Chitipa United.
- Where and when is Ekhaya vs Chitipa United played?
- Ekhaya vs Chitipa United is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.