Chorley vs Derby: result 2-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 9, 2021 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Chorley vs Derby?
Chorley won 2-0 on January 9, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 10′C. HallChorley
- 84′M. CalveleyChorley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2021 | AFC Fylde(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Chester(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2020 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2021 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Swansea(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Stoke City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy