Ciervos vs Acambaro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias
The Footlab AI model makes Acambaro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Acambaro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciervos vs Acambaro?
Acambaro is a heavy favourite: 1,861 Elo points against 1,536, a 325-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ciervos vs Acambaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ciervos
Not enough data to predict the Ciervos lineup.
Acambaro
Not enough data to predict the Acambaro lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Acambaro have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 2-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 0-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ciervos win, 0 draws, 4 Acambaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Acambaro 5-2 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Acambaro 0-1 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Ciervos 0-6 Acambaro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Ciervos 0-5 Acambaro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Acambaro 5-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Acambaro score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Acambaro | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciervos sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (2 points from 7 matches) and Acambaro sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 2 |
A question about Ciervos vs Acambaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Acambaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Acambaro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Ciervos vs Acambaro played?
- Ciervos vs Acambaro is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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