Match

Ciervos vs Acambaro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 21Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Arreola, Chalco de Díaz Covarrubias

CiervosAcambaro

The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciervos vs Acambaro?

Acambaro starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,548).

Ciervos win24 %
Draw24 %
Acambaro win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciervos have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Acambaro have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciervos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chilpancingo(home)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026FC Santiago(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 14, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 7, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)0-2Liga Premier Serie A
Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ciervos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Acambaro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2025Acambaro 0-1 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B
Nov 23, 2024Ciervos 0-6 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B
Apr 3, 2024Ciervos 0-5 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B
Oct 21, 2023Acambaro 5-0 CiervosLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Acambaro vs Ciervos on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ciervos0.91.7210/158/15
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Ciervos264418205018

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciervos vs Acambaro?
The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ciervos.
Where and when is Ciervos vs Acambaro played?
Ciervos vs Acambaro is played on February 20, 2027 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arreola, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ciervos and Acambaro

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