Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Quirazco, Xalapa-Enríquez
The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ciervos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos?
Cañoneros Marina starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cañoneros Marina have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ciervos have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Tapachula(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Neza(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chilpancingo(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-5 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 0-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cañoneros Marina win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ciervos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Cañoneros Marina 1-1 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ciervos 1-3 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Cañoneros Marina 5-2 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Ciervos 1-0 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Ciervos 1-1 Cañoneros Marina | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cañoneros Marina 3-0 Ciervos | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cañoneros Marina score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ciervos score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cañoneros Marina | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| Ciervos | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cañoneros Marina sit 11th in Liga Premier Serie A (22 points from 24 matches) and Ciervos sit 13th (18 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cañoneros Marina | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25 | 49 | 22 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos?
- The Footlab model makes Cañoneros Marina the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ciervos.
- Where and when is Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos played?
- Cañoneros Marina vs Ciervos is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Quirazco, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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