Cinfães vs Alpendorada: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Cerveira Pinto, Cinfães
The Footlab AI model makes Cinfães the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Alpendorada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cinfães wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cinfães vs Alpendorada?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Cinfães (1,946) and Alpendorada (1,919).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cinfães vs Alpendorada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cinfães
Not enough data to predict the Cinfães lineup.
Alpendorada
4-3-3- 11Jucélio
- 45Pauleta
- 93Nilo Souza
- 47M. Borges
- 8B. Tavares
- 10Jony
- 16Simão Melhôr
- 2H. Meireles
- 3G. Zuzarte
- 23Pepe
- 99Ricardo Jorge Oliveira Morais
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cinfães have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Alpendorada have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Beira-Mar(home) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Espinho(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sousense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mação(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Machico(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cinfães wins, 2 draws, 1 Alpendorada win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Alpendorada 0-0 Cinfães | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cinfães 0-0 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cinfães 1-3 Alpendorada | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Alpendorada 0-2 Cinfães | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Alpendorada 1-2 Cinfães | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Alpendorada vs Cinfães on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cinfães score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alpendorada score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinfães | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Alpendorada | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cinfães sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (5 points from 4 matches) and Alpendorada sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cinfães | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Cinfães vs Alpendorada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cinfães vs Alpendorada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cinfães the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Alpendorada.
- Where and when is Cinfães vs Alpendorada played?
- Cinfães vs Alpendorada is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Cerveira Pinto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.