Citizen AA vs Metro Gallery Sun Source: result 1-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 28, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #6, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Metro Gallery Sun Source?
Citizen AA and Metro Gallery Sun Source drew 1-1 on September 28, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Metro Gallery Sun Source have 3, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 3-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 11, 2014 | South China(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2014 | Pegasus(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Resources Capital(away) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Happy Valley(home) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Metro Gallery Sun Source score 4.0 and concede 0.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Citizen AA sit 12th in HKFA 1st Division (4 points from 13 matches) and Metro Gallery Sun Source sit 1st (34 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metro Gallery Sun Source | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 34 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy