Lucky Mile vs Yau Tsim Mong: result 1-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionMatchday 4Kick-off on September 27, 2014 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Hong Kong Football Club Stadium, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Lucky Mile vs Yau Tsim Mong?
Yau Tsim Mong won 1-2 on September 27, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucky Mile have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Yau Tsim Mong have 1, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2014 | Southern District(away) | 3-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(away) | 3-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 1-7 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 5, 2014 | Shatin(home) | 0-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Double Flower(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Citizen AA(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucky Mile score 1.2 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yau Tsim Mong score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucky Mile | 1.2 | 3.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Yau Tsim Mong | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lucky Mile | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 3 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy