Città di Varese vs Pro Patria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Ossola, Varese
The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pro Patria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Città di Varese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Città di Varese (1,738) and Pro Patria (1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Città di Varese have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pro Patria have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Città di Varese wins, 0 draws, 1 Pro Patria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Città di Varese 2-5 Pro Patria | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Città di Varese vs Pro Patria on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Città di Varese score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Patria score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Varese | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pro Patria | 1.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Città di Varese sit 10th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 11 matches) and Pro Patria sit 3rd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pro Patria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 10 | Città di Varese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Città di Varese vs Pro Patria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Pro Patria.
- Where and when is Città di Varese vs Pro Patria played?
- Città di Varese vs Pro Patria is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Ossola, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.