Coriano vs Castellanzese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coriano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellanzese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coriano vs Castellanzese?
Castellanzese starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coriano vs Castellanzese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coriano
Not enough data to predict the Coriano lineup.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coriano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Castellanzese have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crema(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Coriano score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coriano | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coriano sit 15th in Serie D - Girone D (5 points from 7 matches) and Castellanzese sit 5th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 | Coriano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Coriano vs Castellanzese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coriano vs Castellanzese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellanzese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Coriano.
- Where and when is Coriano vs Castellanzese played?
- Coriano vs Castellanzese is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.