Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allegretti Campo A, San Damaso
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Varesina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cittadella Vis Modena wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Cittadella Vis Modena (1,762) and Varesina (1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella Vis Modena have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Varesina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crema(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Cittadella Vis Modena wins, 0 draws, 1 Varesina win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Varesina 3-2 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Varesina vs Cittadella Vis Modena on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Varesina | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella Vis Modena sit 12th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 10 matches) and Varesina sit 14th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | Varesina | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella Vis Modena the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Varesina.
- Where and when is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina played?
- Cittadella Vis Modena vs Varesina is played on January 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allegretti Campo A, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.