Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The NEST, Roulers
The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Club Brugge II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Brugge II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Strasbourg II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Club Brugge II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior Virton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Club Brugge II 1-0 Excelsior Virton | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Excelsior Virton 3-3 Club Brugge II | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton on Feb 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Club Brugge II score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Brugge II sit 6th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 1 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Club Brugge II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Club Brugge II.
- Where and when is Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton played?
- Club Brugge II vs Excelsior Virton is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The NEST, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.